The Weakening of TPLF and Loss of Control in Tigray: A Political Analysis

The conflict in the Tigray region, which reignited in September 2019, has seen TPLF forces retreat from major cities, including Mekelle, without significant fighting. Political and military analysts attribute this rapid loss of territory to severe internal divisions and leadership crises within the TPLF. Former TPLF official Bisrat Amare notes that since the death of Meles Zenawi, the party has struggled, with the Pretoria agreement further exacerbating internal splits. He highlights that the division of Tigrayan armed forces and a lack of public support are key factors. Another analyst, Dr. Getiye Tirfe, agrees that these elements demonstrate the structural collapse of the TPLF, arguing that the group has failed on multiple political fronts.