Zena Digest
Jawar Mohammed

Analysis on TPLF's Defeat and the Necessity of Public Support

The commentary argues that any guerilla movement failing to maintain public support and affection is destined to lose, regardless of its arsenal or size. It highlights that the TPLF, despite arming itself with advanced weaponry like drones and long-range missiles and receiving external support from countries such as Eritrea, Sudan, and Egypt, was defeated within three weeks. The piece asserts that military might alone cannot sustain a movement when it loses the heart of the people. Ultimately, it concludes that the demise of a guerilla force that has alienated the public is inevitable. The text emphasizes that internal legitimacy is the cornerstone of any armed struggle's endurance.

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