The Future of the 'Alliance for Survival' Faces Risks After TPLF's Defeat

The recent military defeat of the TPLF has critically weakened the 'Alliance for Survival,' an opposition coalition. The analysis suggests the TPLF's failure to open multiple fronts and the subsequent loss of territorial control have disrupted vital weapons and supply corridors. Trust between the alliance members, already strained by historical conflicts and different objectives, has eroded further due to these setbacks. The report argues that the alliance's future now largely depends on the evolving geopolitical tensions between Addis Ababa and Asmara. If Ethiopia successfully breaks through Eritrean defenses, the alliance could lose its remaining military and logistical support.