Analysis of the Political Futures of Abiy Ahmed and Jawar Mohammed

The provided text offers a commentary on the political trajectories of Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and opposition figure Jawar Mohammed. It outlines three hypothetical scenarios for Jawar, depending on the political landscape, including continuing anti-dictatorship struggles, pursuing an academic career abroad, or contributing to a democratic Ethiopia. The author emphasizes that the prerequisite for all these possibilities is the survival of the country. Crucially, the text argues that the Ethiopian National Defense Force must win the current conflict to ensure the nation's continued existence.